Three variants of Russia's future. Forecast of Economic Development

Rules igry01-09-2009 Three variants of Russia's future. Forecast of Economic Development and Trade Disputes about the prospects of Russian and world economy does not stop. Who said anything about a second wave of the crisis, and who believe in a brighter future, which will ensure high oil prices. So, today, Ministry of Economic Development gave a regular forecast of economic growth in 2010-2012, while pointing out three possible ways of development of the situation. However, out of the crisis, according to experts, under any scenario we just shine in 2012. Today the Ministry of Economic Development has improved the forecast of economic growth in Russia in 2010-2012. In this department provides three main plot, in which the economy can grow. Thus, according to the first option ("Budget") assessment of economic decline for the current year has not changed - GDP dropped to 8.5%. With the favorable development of the situation a recession can be a little less - 8,2-8,3%, but the risks that still the economy while greatly accelerate will not be large. The forecast for next year's GDP growth increased from 1% to 1.6% in 2011 - from 2.6% to 3% in 2012 - from 3,8% to 4,3%. The second variant (risk) assumes GDP growth next year at the level of 0,6-0,7% (previous forecast of expected decline in GDP in 2010, since it was built on the assumption fiscal contraction in 2010).